Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 61.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 18.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 1-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Colorado Rapids win it was 1-2 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Vancouver Whitecaps in this match.
Result | ||
Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
61.25% ( -0.13) | 20.62% ( 0.01) | 18.14% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 56.36% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.04% ( 0.13) | 39.96% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.67% ( 0.14) | 62.32% ( -0.14) |
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.41% | 12.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.31% ( 0) | 38.69% ( -0) |
Colorado Rapids Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.48% ( 0.21) | 35.52% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.71% ( 0.22) | 72.29% ( -0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.6% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 9.27% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 6.87% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.56% 3-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.47% 5-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.66% Total : 61.25% | 1-1 @ 9.59% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.62% | 1-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.63% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.66% Total : 18.14% |
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