SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 64.93%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 16.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 1-0 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.59%), while for a Colorado Rapids win it was 1-2 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
64.93% ( -0.47) | 18.9% ( 0.01) | 16.16% ( 0.45) |
| Both teams to score 58.32% ( 1.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.57% ( 0.87) | 35.42% ( -0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.53% ( 0.96) | 57.46% ( -0.97) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.72% ( 0.13) | 10.27% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.36% ( 0.3) | 33.63% ( -0.31) |
| Colorado Rapids Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.99% ( 1.1) | 35% ( -1.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.25% ( 1.14) | 71.74% ( -1.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
| 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.31% ( -0.31)1-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.32)3-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 4.22% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.13)4-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.08)5-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.04)Other @ 4.09% Total : 64.93% | 1-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.14)0-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.22% Total : 18.9% | 1-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.53% Total : 16.16% |
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