SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Colorado Rapids | 14 | 2 | 18 |
| 5 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 14 | -1 | 17 |
| 6 | Seattle Sounders | 12 | -1 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dallas | 14 | 11 | 25 |
| 2 | Real Salt Lake | 15 | -1 | 25 |
| 3 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 14 | 1 | 23 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 47.56%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 26.39% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
47.56% ( -0.96) | 26.04% ( 0.38) | 26.39% ( 0.58) |
| Both teams to score 49.94% ( -0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.21% ( -1.05) | 53.79% ( 1.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.74% ( -0.89) | 75.26% ( 0.89) |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.38% ( -0.87) | 22.62% ( 0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.76% ( -1.31) | 56.23% ( 1.31) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.53% ( -0.08) | 35.46% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.77% ( -0.08) | 72.23% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 1-0 @ 11.92% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 8.86% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.18)3-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.97% Total : 47.56% | 1-1 @ 12.36% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.33)2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.01% Total : 26.39% |
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