It is no secret that the Caps have drastically underperformed to this point of the campaign, but they look much more dangerous on the artificial turf of BC Place.
We expect that the new faces in Vancouver will provide them with a much-needed boost against a TFC side who are coming off a short week and struggling to keep the ball out of their goal.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 53.13%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 22.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vancouver Whitecaps in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vancouver Whitecaps.
