The Caps and KC have underachieved so far, and both could be without some key additions who are real difference-makers in the attack. That turf at BC Place has proven to be a nightmare for opposing teams, and despite the success that the Wizards have had through the years against Vancouver, a draw seems like a reasonable projection given the struggles of these sides. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 43.88%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vancouver Whitecaps in this match.

Result
Vancouver Whitecaps	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
43.88%	26.16%	29.95%

Both teams to score 51.91%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.65%

52.35%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.96%

74.04%

Vancouver Whitecaps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.27%

23.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.14%

57.86%

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.06%

31.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.6%

68.4%

Score Analysis

Vancouver Whitecaps 43.88%

Sporting Kansas City 29.95%

Draw 26.16%

Vancouver Whitecaps	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
1-0 @ 10.9% 2-1 @ 8.95% 2-0 @ 7.84% 3-1 @ 4.29% 3-0 @ 3.76% 3-2 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 1.54% 4-0 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.79% Total : 43.88%	1-1 @ 12.44% 0-0 @ 7.58% 2-2 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.16%	0-1 @ 8.65% 1-2 @ 7.1% 0-2 @ 4.94% 1-3 @ 2.7% 2-3 @ 1.94% 0-3 @ 1.88% Other @ 2.75% Total : 29.95%