Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 27.69% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (8.66%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.01) 
