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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston United win with a probability of 43.2%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.94%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Boston United |
32.01% ( -0.33) | 24.79% ( -0.04) | 43.2% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 57.37% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.32% ( 0.07) | 45.68% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32% ( 0.07) | 68% ( -0.07) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.8% ( -0.17) | 27.2% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.39% ( -0.22) | 62.61% ( 0.22) |
| Boston United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.81% ( 0.2) | 21.19% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.93% ( 0.31) | 54.07% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Boston United |
| 2-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 3% Total : 32.01% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.79% | 1-2 @ 9.03% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 4.67% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.81% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 43.2% |
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