Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 36.01%. A win for Banbury United had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.69%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Banbury United win was 1-0 (11.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
-0.42) 
0.16) 
