SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blyth Spartans win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blyth Spartans win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Blyth Spartans | Draw | Alfreton Town |
37.6% ( -4.27) | 26.38% ( -0.63) | 36.02% ( 4.89) |
| Both teams to score 52.95% ( 3.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.2% ( 3.43) | 51.8% ( -3.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.44% ( 2.9) | 73.56% ( -2.91) |
| Blyth Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.22% ( -0.74) | 26.77% ( 0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.94% ( -0.98) | 62.05% ( 0.98) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.3% ( 4.9) | 27.69% ( -4.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.75% ( 5.88) | 63.25% ( -5.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| Blyth Spartans | Draw | Alfreton Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.77% ( -1.64) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.35)2-0 @ 6.44% ( -1.25)3-1 @ 3.63% ( -0.23)3-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.62)3-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.23)Other @ 2.21% Total : 37.6% | 1-1 @ 12.54% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 7.41% ( -1.07)2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.48)3-3 @ 1% ( 0.19)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.05% ( 0.88)0-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.78)1-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.77)0-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.62)2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.47)1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.36)Other @ 2.89% Total : 36.02% |
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