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National League North | Gameweek 31
Jan 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Haig Avenue
AT

Southport
2 - 3
Alfreton

Carver (24', 45+7')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Waldock (12'), Day (88'), McDonagh (90')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Southport and Alfreton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southport 2-0 Darlington
Tuesday, January 9 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: P'boro Sports 1-1 Alfreton
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for Southport had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Southport win was 1-0 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.

Result
SouthportDrawAlfreton Town
27.9% (0.16 0.16) 27.29% (-0.014999999999997 -0.01) 44.81% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14)
Both teams to score 47.41% (0.145 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.42% (0.138 0.14)57.58% (-0.13699999999999 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.64% (0.11 0.11)78.36% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)
Southport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.72% (0.204 0.2)36.28% (-0.203 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.93% (0.206 0.21)73.07% (-0.205 -0.2)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)25.6% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.52% (-0.011999999999993 -0.01)60.48% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Southport 27.9%
    Alfreton Town 44.8%
    Draw 27.29%
SouthportDrawAlfreton Town
1-0 @ 9.42% (0.0029999999999983 0)
2-1 @ 6.5% (0.036 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.77% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.2% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.61% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.5% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 27.9%
1-1 @ 12.83%
0-0 @ 9.29% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.43% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.29%
0-1 @ 12.65% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-2 @ 8.74% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
0-2 @ 8.62% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.97% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 3.92% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.01% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.34% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 44.8%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Southport 2-0 Darlington
Tuesday, January 9 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 2-2 Southport
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 0-3 Curzon Ashton
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 3-2 Southport
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 0-4 King's Lynn
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Tamworth 4-0 Southport
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: P'boro Sports 1-1 Alfreton
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Warrington Town 2-2 Alfreton
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 2-0 Chorley
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 1-2 Alfreton
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 2-1 Buxton
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 3-1 Alfreton
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in National League North


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