Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 2-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%).