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National League North | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Silverlands

Buxton
1 - 0
Southport

FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Buxton and Southport.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leamington 0-1 Buxton
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 2-0 Southport
Tuesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Southport had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Southport win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Buxton in this match.

Result
BuxtonDrawSouthport
43.39% (-0.622 -0.62) 26.77% (0.082000000000001 0.08) 29.83% (0.535 0.54)
Both teams to score 50% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.21% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)54.78% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.91% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)76.09% (0.075999999999993 0.08)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.95% (-0.355 -0.36)25.04% (0.352 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.28% (-0.493 -0.49)59.72% (0.49 0.49)
Southport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.71% (0.351 0.35)33.29% (-0.353 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.09% (0.385 0.38)69.91% (-0.38800000000001 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Buxton 43.39%
    Southport 29.84%
    Draw 26.76%
BuxtonDrawSouthport
1-0 @ 11.54% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.79% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.99% (-0.135 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4.06% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.69% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.4% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 43.39%
1-1 @ 12.69% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.34% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.83% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.76%
0-1 @ 9.17% (0.121 0.12)
1-2 @ 6.98% (0.088 0.09)
0-2 @ 5.04% (0.114 0.11)
1-3 @ 2.56% (0.057 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.85% (0.059 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 29.84%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Leamington 0-1 Buxton
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Kettering 0-0 Buxton
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 1-0 King's Lynn
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Blyth Spartans 0-3 Buxton
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 2-1 Buxton
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 0-1 Hereford
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 2-0 Southport
Tuesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 1-2 Southport
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 0-0 Southport
Tuesday, January 31 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Telford 1-1 Southport
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Blyth Spartans 1-0 Southport
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 1-2 Fylde
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in National League North


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