SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Southport had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Southport win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Buxton in this match.
| Result | ||
| Buxton | Draw | Southport |
43.39% ( -0.62) | 26.77% ( 0.08) | 29.83% ( 0.54) |
| Both teams to score 50% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.21% ( -0.1) | 54.78% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.91% ( -0.08) | 76.09% ( 0.08) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.95% ( -0.36) | 25.04% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.28% ( -0.49) | 59.72% ( 0.49) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.71% ( 0.35) | 33.29% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.09% ( 0.38) | 69.91% ( -0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Buxton | Draw | Southport |
| 1-0 @ 11.54% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.41% Total : 43.39% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.76% | 0-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.46% Total : 29.84% |
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