SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 51.12%. A win for Banbury United had a probability of 25.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Banbury United win was 0-1 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southport | Draw | Banbury United |
51.12% ( 1.79) | 23.73% ( -1.32) | 25.14% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 56.03% ( 3.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.77% ( 5.19) | 45.23% ( -5.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.43% ( 4.79) | 67.57% ( -4.79) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.27% ( 2.73) | 17.73% ( -2.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.6% ( 4.52) | 48.4% ( -4.52) |
| Banbury United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.1% ( 2.4) | 31.89% ( -2.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.66% ( 2.66) | 68.34% ( -2.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southport | Draw | Banbury United |
| 1-0 @ 9.78% ( -1.35) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.22)2-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.37)3-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.57)3-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.21)3-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.51)4-1 @ 2.41% ( 0.43)4-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.26)4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.32)Other @ 3.67% Total : 51.12% | 1-1 @ 11.17% ( -0.74) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( -1.36)2-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.47)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.26)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.73% | 0-1 @ 6.46% ( -1.05) 1-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.33)1-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.3)0-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.66% Total : 25.14% |
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