Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banbury United win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banbury United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.71%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (11.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
0.58) 
-0.03) 
