SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banbury United win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banbury United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.71%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (11.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Banbury United | Draw | Alfreton Town |
38.07% ( 0.58) | 29.07% ( -0.03) | 32.86% ( -0.55) |
| Both teams to score 44.45% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.77% ( 0.04) | 62.23% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.09% ( 0.03) | 81.9% ( -0.03) |
| Banbury United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.42% ( 0.38) | 31.58% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.01% ( 0.44) | 67.98% ( -0.44) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.97% ( -0.37) | 35.03% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.22% ( -0.39) | 71.77% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Banbury United | Draw | Alfreton Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.75% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.92% Total : 38.07% | 1-1 @ 13.37% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.06% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.04% ( -0)Other @ 0.59% Total : 29.06% | 0-1 @ 11.6% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 7.02% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.16% Total : 32.86% |
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