SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 50.08%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Bishop's Stortford had a probability of 24.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Bishop's Stortford win it was 1-0 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bishop's Stortford | Draw | Buxton |
24.57% ( 1.05) | 25.34% ( 0.23) | 50.08% ( -1.29) |
| Both teams to score 50.39% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.6% ( -0.02) | 52.4% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.92% ( -0.02) | 74.08% ( 0.01) |
| Bishop's Stortford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.73% ( 0.94) | 36.27% ( -0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.94% ( 0.94) | 73.05% ( -0.94) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.06% ( -0.54) | 20.93% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.32% ( -0.86) | 53.67% ( 0.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bishop's Stortford | Draw | Buxton |
| 1-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.21)2-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.1)Other @ 1.86% Total : 24.57% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 7.59% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 11.87% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 9.42% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 9.28% ( -0.31)1-3 @ 4.91% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 4.84% ( -0.24)2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.13)2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.49% Total : 50.08% |
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