SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brackley Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Brackley Town | Draw | Chorley |
44.55% ( 0.02) | 25.26% ( 0.01) | 30.2% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.93% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.52% ( -0.03) | 48.48% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.39% ( -0.02) | 70.61% ( 0.03) |
| Brackley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.24% ( -0) | 21.76% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.06% ( -0.01) | 54.94% ( 0.01) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.2% ( -0.03) | 29.8% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.13% ( -0.03) | 65.87% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brackley Town | Draw | Chorley |
| 1-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.13% 2-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.64% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.83% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 2.4% Total : 44.55% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.26% | 0-1 @ 7.85% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.25% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.75% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.93% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0)Other @ 3.27% Total : 30.2% |
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