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National League North | Gameweek 29
Feb 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St James Park
C

Brackley Town
1 - 0
Chorley

Roberts (7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Brackley Town and Chorley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Warrington Town 2-2 Brackley Town
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 1-0 Tamworth
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brackley Town in this match.

Result
Brackley TownDrawChorley
44.55% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 25.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 30.2% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.93% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.52% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)48.48% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.39% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)70.61% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Brackley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.24% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)21.76% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.06% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)54.94% (0.012 0.01)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.2% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)29.8% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.13% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)65.87% (0.035000000000011 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Brackley Town 44.55%
    Chorley 30.2%
    Draw 25.26%
Brackley TownDrawChorley
1-0 @ 9.89% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.13%
2-0 @ 7.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.64% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 44.55%
1-1 @ 11.97% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.48% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.26%
0-1 @ 7.85% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 7.25% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 4.75% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.93% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 30.2%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Warrington Town 2-2 Brackley Town
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-3 King's Lynn
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 3-1 P'boro Sports
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 3-1 Brackley Town
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-0 Darlington
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 0-0 Brackley Town
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 1-0 Tamworth
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 3-0 Southport
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 2-1 Spennymoor
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 3-1 Gloucester City
Tuesday, February 6 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Warrington Town 2-1 Chorley
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 3-2 Alfreton
Tuesday, January 30 at 7.45pm in National League North


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