SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 60.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 17.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Blyth Spartans win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hereford United | Draw | Blyth Spartans |
60.72% ( 0.03) | 21.62% ( -0.01) | 17.66% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.99% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.72% ( 0) | 45.28% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.38% ( 0) | 67.62% ( -0) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.55% ( 0.01) | 14.45% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.6% ( 0.02) | 42.39% ( -0.02) |
| Blyth Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.77% ( -0.02) | 39.23% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.06% ( -0.02) | 75.94% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hereford United | Draw | Blyth Spartans |
| 1-0 @ 10.96% 2-0 @ 10.6% 2-1 @ 9.93% 3-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.4% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.31% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.1% ( 0)3-2 @ 3% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.45% 5-0 @ 1.28% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 2.66% Total : 60.71% | 1-1 @ 10.26% 0-0 @ 5.67% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.62% | 0-1 @ 5.3% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.8% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.48% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.5% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0)Other @ 2.13% Total : 17.66% |
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