Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 51.8%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 23.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Blyth Spartans win it was 1-0 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.
