SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 47.79%. A win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Blyth Spartans win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alfreton Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Blyth Spartans |
47.79% ( 1.05) | 24.36% ( -0.16) | 27.85% ( -0.9) |
| Both teams to score 56.38% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.12% ( 0.11) | 45.88% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.81% ( 0.11) | 68.19% ( -0.11) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.71% ( 0.48) | 19.29% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.96% ( 0.79) | 51.03% ( -0.79) |
| Blyth Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.86% ( -0.59) | 30.14% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.71% ( -0.72) | 66.29% ( 0.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Blyth Spartans |
| 1-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.12% Total : 47.79% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.35% | 0-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 6.88% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.13% Total : 27.85% |
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