SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Southport had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Southport win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | Southport |
38.93% ( -0.29) | 26.31% ( 0.1) | 34.76% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 53.05% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.38% ( -0.37) | 51.62% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.6% ( -0.32) | 73.41% ( 0.33) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.05% ( -0.33) | 25.95% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.04% ( -0.44) | 60.96% ( 0.45) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.63% ( -0.05) | 28.37% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.89% ( -0.07) | 64.11% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | Southport |
| 1-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.37% Total : 38.93% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.88% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.31% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 2.72% Total : 34.76% |
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