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National League North | Gameweek 28
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Haig Avenue
AF

Southport
1 - 2
Fylde

Oliver (70')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Conlan (45+2'), Haughton (90+1' pen.)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Southport and Fylde.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Peterborough Sports 2-1 Southport
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Fylde 5-0 Banbury
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 38.56%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Fylde win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
SouthportDrawFylde
38.56% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 26.86% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 34.57% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.23% (0.0089999999999932 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.08% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)53.91% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.63% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)75.36% (-0.012 -0.01)
Southport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.77% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)27.22% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.36% (-0.012 -0.01)62.63% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Fylde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.39% (0.019000000000005 0.02)29.61% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.35% (0.024000000000001 0.02)65.64% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Southport 38.56%
    Fylde 34.57%
    Draw 26.86%
SouthportDrawFylde
1-0 @ 10.48% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 6.82% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.6% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.96% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.19%
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 38.56%
1-1 @ 12.76%
0-0 @ 8.06% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 5.05% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.86%
0-1 @ 9.81% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 7.77% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 5.97% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 3.15% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.05% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 34.57%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Peterborough Sports 2-1 Southport
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 2-1 Curzon Ashton
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 1-1 Southport
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 1-1 Scarborough Ath
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in National League North
Last Game: Kettering 0-0 Southport
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 1-1 King's Lynn
Tuesday, November 15 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Fylde 5-0 Banbury
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 0-1 Fylde
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Fylde 1-2 Chorley
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 1-2 Fylde
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in National League North
Last Game: Fylde 2-0 Alfreton
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Fylde 4-1 Boston
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.45pm in National League North


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