Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 53.74%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 22.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Curzon Ashton win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southport would win this match.
Result | ||
Southport | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
53.74% ( 0.03) | 24.01% ( -0.02) | 22.25% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 51.78% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.74% ( 0.06) | 49.25% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.69% ( 0.06) | 71.31% ( -0.05) |
Southport Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.75% ( 0.04) | 18.25% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.71% ( 0.06) | 49.29% ( -0.06) |
Curzon Ashton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.33% ( 0.02) | 36.66% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.55% ( 0.02) | 73.45% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Southport | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
1-0 @ 11.38% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.68% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.51% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.49% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.33% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 3.35% Total : 53.74% | 1-1 @ 11.42% 0-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.01% | 0-1 @ 6.71% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.73% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.37% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.92% 2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 1.76% Total : 22.25% |
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