SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston United win with a probability of 58.06%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Southport had a probability of 19.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Southport win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boston United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boston United | Draw | Southport |
58.06% ( -1.03) | 22.07% ( 0.27) | 19.86% ( 0.76) |
| Both teams to score 54.51% ( 0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.1% ( -0.07) | 43.9% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.71% ( -0.07) | 66.28% ( 0.07) |
| Boston United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.16% ( -0.35) | 14.83% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.86% ( -0.68) | 43.14% ( 0.68) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.01% ( 0.76) | 35.99% ( -0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.23% ( 0.77) | 72.77% ( -0.77) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boston United | Draw | Southport |
| 1-0 @ 10.18% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.22)3-1 @ 6.32% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.22)3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.02% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.71% Total : 58.06% | 1-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.07% | 0-1 @ 5.46% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.81% Total : 19.86% |
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