Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston United win with a probability of 54.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Southport had a probability of 21.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Southport win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.