Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 46.25%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Chorley had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Chorley win it was 0-1 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
0.03) 
-0.03) 
