SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 46.25%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Chorley had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Chorley win it was 0-1 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brackley Town | Draw | Chorley |
46.25% ( 0.03) | 27.65% ( -0.03) | 26.1% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 45.21% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.22% ( 0.09) | 59.78% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.93% ( 0.07) | 80.07% ( -0.06) |
| Brackley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.12% ( 0.06) | 25.88% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.14% ( 0.08) | 60.86% ( -0.07) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.99% ( 0.05) | 39.01% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.27% ( 0.04) | 75.73% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brackley Town | Draw | Chorley |
| 1-0 @ 13.64% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.22% ( -0)2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.4% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.06% Total : 46.24% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.09% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.63% Total : 27.64% | 0-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.05% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.47% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.9% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.4% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 1.5% Total : 26.1% |
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