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National League North | Gameweek 16
Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Horsfall Stadium

Bradford Park Av
1 - 2
Brackley Town

FT(HT: 1-0)
Woods (65' pen.), Matwasa (73')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Bradford Park Avenue and Brackley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blyth Spartans 0-1 Bradford Park Av
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-0 Boston
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 66.15%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 11.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.52%) and 1-2 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a Bradford Park Avenue win it was 1-0 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.

Result
Bradford Park AvenueDrawBrackley Town
11.99% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01) 21.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 66.15% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 38.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)56.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.49% (0.0029999999999966 0)77.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Bradford Park Avenue Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.8% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)54.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)87.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Brackley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.55% (0.0039999999999907 0)16.45% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.86% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)46.14% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bradford Park Avenue 11.99%
    Brackley Town 66.15%
    Draw 21.86%
Bradford Park AvenueDrawBrackley Town
1-0 @ 5.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-1 @ 3.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 1.67%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 11.99%
1-1 @ 9.86% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 8.92% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 2.72%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 21.86%
0-1 @ 16.09%
0-2 @ 14.52%
1-2 @ 8.89%
0-3 @ 8.74% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 5.35% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-4 @ 3.94% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 2.41%
2-3 @ 1.64%
0-5 @ 1.42% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 66.15%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Blyth Spartans 0-1 Bradford Park Av
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Bradford Park Av 1-0 Hereford
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Bradford Park Av 2-1 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 4-1 Bradford Park Av
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Fylde 3-1 Bradford Park Av
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Bradford Park Av 1-3 Darlington
Monday, September 12 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-0 Boston
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 2-0 Buxton
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 2-2 Brackley Town
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-1 Fylde
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Telford 0-1 Brackley Town
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 1-0 Brackley Town
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in National League North


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