SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Darlington win was 1-0 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Darlington | Draw | Chester FC |
31.75% ( 0.01) | 26.71% ( 0.01) | 41.54% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.98% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.1% ( -0.06) | 53.9% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.64% ( -0.05) | 75.36% ( 0.05) |
| Darlington Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.53% ( -0.03) | 31.47% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.14% ( -0.03) | 67.85% ( 0.03) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.4% ( -0.04) | 25.6% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.51% ( -0.06) | 60.48% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Darlington | Draw | Chester FC |
| 1-0 @ 9.31% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.34% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.83% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.08% 3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.89% Total : 31.75% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.71% | 0-1 @ 10.97% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.65% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.48% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.4% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 2.35% Total : 41.53% |
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