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National League North | Gameweek 43
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
Edgar Street Athletic Ground

Hereford
2 - 2
Brackley Town

Lloyd (24', 40')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Stead (7'), Smart (56')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Brackley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leamington 2-0 Hereford
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-2 Telford
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Brackley Town had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Brackley Town win was 0-1 (10.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Hereford UnitedDrawBrackley Town
41.47% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 27.68% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 30.85%
Both teams to score 47.78% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.18% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)57.82% (0.062999999999995 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.45% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)78.55% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.55% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)27.45% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.06% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)62.94% (0.050999999999995 0.05)
Brackley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.86% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)34.14% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.17% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)70.83% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Hereford United 41.46%
    Brackley Town 30.85%
    Draw 27.68%
Hereford UnitedDrawBrackley Town
1-0 @ 12.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.83% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.09% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 41.46%
1-1 @ 13.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.37% (0.022 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.52% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.68%
0-1 @ 10.07% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.51% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.94%
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 30.85%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Leamington 2-0 Hereford
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 1-1 Boston
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 0-1 King's Lynn
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 3-0 Hereford
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 0-0 Telford
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 2-0 Hereford
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-2 Telford
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 2-1 Brackley Town
Tuesday, April 4 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Fylde 3-0 Brackley Town
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 1-1 Brackley Town
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-1 Blyth Spartans
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-1 King's Lynn
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in National League North


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