Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 51.8%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 23.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Bradford Park Avenue win it was 1-0 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.