SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 57.83%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 18.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Bradford Park Avenue win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southport would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southport | Draw | Bradford Park Avenue |
57.83% ( -0.1) | 23.17% ( 0.04) | 18.99% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 49.55% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.22% ( -0.08) | 49.77% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.22% ( -0.07) | 71.78% ( 0.07) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.05% ( -0.06) | 16.94% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.97% ( -0.12) | 47.02% ( 0.11) |
| Bradford Park Avenue Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.66% ( 0.02) | 40.33% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.04% ( 0.02) | 76.95% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southport | Draw | Bradford Park Avenue |
| 1-0 @ 12.13% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.76% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.89% Total : 57.82% | 1-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0)Other @ 0.88% Total : 23.16% | 0-1 @ 6.21% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.51% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.34% ( 0)Other @ 2.11% Total : 18.99% |
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