Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Bradford Park Avenue win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.
