SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 48.43%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 26.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Buxton win was 0-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kidderminster Harriers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Kidderminster Harriers | Draw | Buxton |
48.43% ( 0.12) | 25.19% ( 0.01) | 26.38% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 52.52% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.59% ( -0.12) | 50.4% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.66% ( -0.11) | 72.34% ( 0.11) |
| Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.16% | 20.83% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.49% ( 0) | 53.51% |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.34% ( -0.17) | 33.65% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.69% ( -0.18) | 70.3% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kidderminster Harriers | Draw | Buxton |
| 1-0 @ 10.99% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.93% 4-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 48.42% | 1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.18% | 0-1 @ 7.64% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.34% Total : 26.38% |
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