SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 51.55%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 24.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Buxton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Buxton | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
51.55% ( 0.06) | 23.84% ( -0.02) | 24.61% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.1% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.8% ( 0.05) | 46.2% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.5% ( 0.05) | 68.49% ( -0.05) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.07% ( 0.04) | 17.93% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.25% ( 0.07) | 48.75% ( -0.07) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.13% ( -0.01) | 32.86% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.56% ( -0.01) | 69.43% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Buxton | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.12% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.7% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 3.56% Total : 51.54% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.84% | 0-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.33% ( -0)2-3 @ 2% 0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 24.61% |
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