Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 49.8%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 25.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Bradford Park Avenue win it was 1-0 (7.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Buxton would win this match.
