SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 51.6%. A win for Boston United had a probability of 24.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Boston United win was 0-1 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southport | Draw | Boston United |
51.6% ( -3.34) | 24.09% ( 0.68) | 24.3% ( 2.66) |
| Both teams to score 53.96% ( 1.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.45% ( -0.12) | 47.55% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.24% ( -0.11) | 69.75% ( 0.1) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.58% ( -1.29) | 18.42% ( 1.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.42% ( -2.23) | 49.58% ( 2.22) |
| Boston United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.14% ( 2.37) | 33.86% ( -2.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.47% ( 2.49) | 70.52% ( -2.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southport | Draw | Boston United |
| 1-0 @ 10.55% ( -0.4) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.74)3-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.32)3-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.65)3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.24)4-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.38)4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.35% Total : 51.6% | 1-1 @ 11.42% ( 0.31) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.26)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.09% | 0-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.45) 1-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.54)0-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.46)1-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.32)2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.21)0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.24)Other @ 2.26% Total : 24.3% |
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