SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 51.23%. A win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.59%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Scarborough Athletic win was 2-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Buxton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Scarborough Athletic | Draw | Buxton |
26.46% ( -0.86) | 22.31% ( -0.38) | 51.23% ( 1.23) |
| Both teams to score 62.34% ( 0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.51% ( 1.08) | 37.48% ( -1.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.29% ( 1.15) | 59.71% ( -1.15) |
| Scarborough Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.22% ( -0.04) | 26.78% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.93% ( -0.06) | 62.06% ( 0.05) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.14% ( 0.81) | 14.85% ( -0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.82% ( 1.53) | 43.18% ( -1.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Scarborough Athletic | Draw | Buxton |
| 2-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.17) 1-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.28)2-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.16% Total : 26.46% | 1-1 @ 9.99% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.21)3-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.31% | 1-2 @ 9.53% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 7.23% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 6.06% ( 0.19)0-3 @ 4.6% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 3.99% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 2.89% ( 0.17)0-4 @ 2.19% ( 0.13)2-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.11)1-5 @ 1.1% ( 0.09)Other @ 4.16% Total : 51.23% |
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