SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 51.59%. A win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 24.39% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Scarborough Athletic win was 0-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Buxton | Draw | Scarborough Athletic |
51.59% ( -6.07) | 24.02% ( 0.78) | 24.39% ( 5.29) |
| Both teams to score 54.3% ( 4.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.86% ( 2.75) | 47.14% ( -2.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.62% ( 2.5) | 69.37% ( -2.51) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.73% ( -1.22) | 18.27% ( 1.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.67% ( -2.12) | 49.33% ( 2.12) |
| Scarborough Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.44% ( 6.72) | 33.56% ( -6.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.8% ( 6.71) | 70.2% ( -6.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Buxton | Draw | Scarborough Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.42% ( -1.72) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 8.86% ( -1.88)3-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.28)3-0 @ 5.02% ( -1.32)3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.37)4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.22)4-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.67)4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.11)Other @ 3.41% Total : 51.59% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.34) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.73)2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.84)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.3)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.02% | 0-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.45) 1-2 @ 6.21% ( 1.19)0-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.82)1-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.74)2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.58)0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.47)Other @ 2.32% Total : 24.39% |
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