SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 46.14%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 27.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Buxton win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | Buxton |
46.14% ( 0.21) | 25.92% ( -0.07) | 27.93% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 51.43% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.6% ( 0.18) | 52.4% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.92% ( 0.16) | 74.08% ( -0.16) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.32% ( 0.18) | 22.67% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.67% ( 0.26) | 56.32% ( -0.27) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.51% ( -0.02) | 33.48% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.88% ( -0.02) | 70.12% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | Buxton |
| 1-0 @ 11.26% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.11% Total : 46.14% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.92% | 0-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.74% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.4% Total : 27.93% |
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