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National League North | Gameweek 18
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Silverlands
Buxton
1 - 2
Farsley Celtic
De Girolamo (32' pen.)
De Girolamo (53')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Stephenson (44'), R (45+3')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Buxton and Farsley Celtic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: South Shields 1-0 Buxton
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 2-0 Boston
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 63.46%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 15.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.53%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Farsley Celtic win it was 0-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
BuxtonDrawFarsley Celtic
63.46% (-0.052 -0.05) 21.02% (0.0040000000000013 0) 15.51% (0.042 0.04)
Both teams to score 49.34% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.52% (0.056999999999995 0.06)46.47% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.24% (0.053000000000001 0.05)68.75% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.01%13.98% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)41.49% (-0.012 -0.01)
Farsley Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.36% (0.092999999999996 0.09)42.63% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.02% (0.079999999999998 0.08)78.97% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Buxton 63.45%
    Farsley Celtic 15.52%
    Draw 21.02%
BuxtonDrawFarsley Celtic
1-0 @ 11.72% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 11.53% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.0040000000000013 0)
3-0 @ 7.57% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.45% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-0 @ 3.72% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.17% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 63.45%
1-1 @ 10% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-0 @ 5.96% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.19% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 21.02%
0-1 @ 5.08%
1-2 @ 4.26% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.17% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.21% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.19% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 15.52%

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Form Guide
Last Game: South Shields 1-0 Buxton
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Bishop's Stortford 3-1 Buxton
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 2-1 Tamworth
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 2-2 Rushall Olympic
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 2-2 P'boro Sports
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 1-0 Buxton
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 2-0 Boston
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 1-2 Darlington
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 2-0 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Warrington Town 1-1 Farsley Celtic
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 1-4 Brackley Town
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 1-2 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League North

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