Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gloucester City win with a probability of 39.88%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gloucester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
