SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 55.16%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Hereford United had a probability of 20.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Hereford United win it was 0-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chester FC | Draw | Hereford United |
55.16% ( -0.35) | 24.45% ( 0.12) | 20.39% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 47.95% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.96% ( -0.17) | 53.05% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.37% ( -0.15) | 74.63% ( 0.15) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.86% ( -0.2) | 19.14% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.21% ( -0.33) | 50.79% ( 0.33) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.31% ( 0.15) | 40.7% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.72% ( 0.13) | 77.28% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chester FC | Draw | Hereford United |
| 1-0 @ 12.87% 2-0 @ 10.64% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 5.28% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.96% Total : 55.14% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.78% Total : 24.44% | 0-1 @ 7% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.24% Total : 20.39% |
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