Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 56.43%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 19.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Blyth Spartans win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.
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