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National League North | Gameweek 28
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Lookers Vauxhall Stadium

Chester
2 - 2
Curzon Ashton

Williams (78'), Willoughby (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Peers (18'), Mahon (66')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chester FC and Curzon Ashton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brackley Town 1-1 Chester
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 2-1 Buxton
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 57.83%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 18.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.43%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Curzon Ashton win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Chester FCDrawCurzon Ashton
57.83% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 23.89% (0.00099999999999767 0) 18.28% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 46.27% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)53.53% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.95% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)75.05% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)18.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)49.4%
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.64% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)43.36% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.41% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)79.59% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Chester FC 57.81%
    Curzon Ashton 18.28%
    Draw 23.88%
Chester FCDrawCurzon Ashton
1-0 @ 13.47%
2-0 @ 11.43%
2-1 @ 9.56%
3-0 @ 6.47% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 5.41%
4-0 @ 2.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.3%
3-2 @ 2.26%
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
5-0 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 57.81%
1-1 @ 11.26%
0-0 @ 7.94% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 23.88%
0-1 @ 6.64%
1-2 @ 4.71% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 2.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.31% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.11% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 18.28%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-1 Chester
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chester 1-1 Telford
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Telford 0-0 Chester
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Kidderminster 0-2 Chester
Wednesday, December 7 at 7.30pm in National League North
Last Game: Chester 1-0 Blyth Spartans
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 1-3 Chester
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 2-1 Buxton
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 2-1 Curzon Ashton
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 1-1 Southport
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 0-2 Darlington
Tuesday, December 6 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 3-0 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 3-0 Telford
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League North


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