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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 54.37%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 20.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chester FC | Draw | Alfreton Town |
54.37% ( -0.22) | 24.74% ( 0.08) | 20.89% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 47.82% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.42% ( -0.13) | 53.59% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.91% ( -0.11) | 75.09% ( 0.11) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.34% ( -0.14) | 19.66% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.37% ( -0.23) | 51.63% ( 0.23) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.52% ( 0.08) | 40.48% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.91% ( 0.07) | 77.09% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chester FC | Draw | Alfreton Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.94% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.52% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.8% Total : 54.36% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.31% ( 0)Other @ 0.77% Total : 24.74% | 0-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.3% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.27% Total : 20.89% |
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