SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 42.69%. A win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Blyth Spartans win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | Blyth Spartans |
42.69% ( 6.39) | 27.69% ( 0.26) | 29.62% ( -6.65) |
| Both teams to score 47.23% ( -2.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.73% ( -2.2) | 58.26% ( 2.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.1% ( -1.75) | 78.9% ( 1.75) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73% ( 2.59) | 27% ( -2.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.64% ( 3.27) | 62.35% ( -3.28) |
| Blyth Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.7% ( -5.69) | 35.29% ( 5.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.95% ( -6.41) | 72.05% ( 6.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | Blyth Spartans |
| 1-0 @ 12.47% ( 1.8) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.6)2-0 @ 8.17% ( 1.67)3-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.5)3-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.93)3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.24)4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.36)Other @ 1.95% Total : 42.68% | 1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.77)2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.38)Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.68% | 0-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.73) 1-2 @ 6.77% ( -1.14)0-2 @ 5.17% ( -1.32)1-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.86)0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.84)2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.41)Other @ 2.08% Total : 29.62% |
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