SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 46.92%. A win for Bishop's Stortford had a probability of 27.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Bishop's Stortford win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Curzon Ashton in this match.
| Result | ||
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | Bishop's Stortford |
46.92% ( -0.97) | 25.12% ( 0.27) | 27.95% ( 0.7) |
| Both teams to score 53.96% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.89% ( -0.66) | 49.1% ( 0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.82% ( -0.6) | 71.18% ( 0.6) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.04% ( -0.68) | 20.95% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.3% ( -1.07) | 53.7% ( 1.08) |
| Bishop's Stortford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.26% ( 0.19) | 31.74% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.83% ( 0.22) | 68.16% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | Bishop's Stortford |
| 1-0 @ 10.39% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 4.86% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.57% Total : 46.92% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.11% | 0-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 6.85% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.76% Total : 27.95% |
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