SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kettering Town win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kettering Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kettering Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Kettering Town | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
39.73% ( -0.01) | 27.89% ( -0) | 32.37% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.64% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.77% ( 0) | 58.23% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.13% ( 0) | 78.87% ( -0) |
| Kettering Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.38% ( -0) | 28.61% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.58% ( -0.01) | 64.41% ( 0) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.73% ( 0.01) | 33.26% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.12% ( 0.01) | 69.88% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kettering Town | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
| 1-0 @ 11.91% 2-1 @ 8.2% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.45% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.42% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.11% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.88% 4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 1.72% Total : 39.73% | 1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 9.52% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0)Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.88% | 0-1 @ 10.47% 1-2 @ 7.21% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.77% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.65% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.12% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 32.36% |
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