SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 50.62%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 24.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Bradford Park Avenue win it was 1-0 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bradford Park Avenue | Draw | Hereford United |
24.54% ( -0.05) | 24.83% ( -0.04) | 50.62% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 51.9% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.6% ( 0.13) | 50.4% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.67% ( 0.12) | 72.33% ( -0.12) |
| Bradford Park Avenue Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.8% ( 0.03) | 35.2% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.05% ( 0.04) | 71.95% ( -0.04) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.09% ( 0.09) | 19.91% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.95% ( 0.14) | 52.05% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bradford Park Avenue | Draw | Hereford United |
| 1-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 6.17% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.15% 3-2 @ 1.73% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.33% ( -0)Other @ 2.03% Total : 24.54% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.83% | 0-1 @ 11.31% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.53% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 9.13% 1-3 @ 5.13% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.91% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.07% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.98% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.81% Total : 50.62% |
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