SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Blyth Spartans win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Blyth Spartans | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
34.48% ( -0.09) | 25.41% ( -0.04) | 40.11% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 56.03% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.23% ( 0.15) | 47.76% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.04% ( 0.14) | 69.96% ( -0.14) |
| Blyth Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.32% ( 0.02) | 26.68% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.06% ( 0.03) | 61.93% ( -0.03) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.41% ( 0.13) | 23.58% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.35% ( 0.19) | 57.65% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Blyth Spartans | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
| 1-0 @ 8.31% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.49% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.15% Total : 34.48% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.68% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.57% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.03% Total : 40.11% |
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