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National League North
May 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
St James Park

Brackley Town
2 - 2
Gloucester City

Brackley Town win 4-3 on penalties
Robinson (71'), Matwasa (80')
FT
(aet)
Phillips (51'), Spence (90+10')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Brackley Town and Gloucester City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brackley Town 1-1 Alfreton
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 4-3 Chorley
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 58.26%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Gloucester City had a probability of 18.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Gloucester City win it was 0-1 (6.21%).

Result
Brackley TownDrawGloucester City
58.26% (0.828 0.83) 23.17% (-0.106 -0.11) 18.57% (-0.724 -0.72)
Both teams to score 48.85% (-0.893 -0.89)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.65% (-0.561 -0.56)50.34% (0.557 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.71% (-0.498 -0.5)72.28% (0.494 0.49)
Brackley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83% (0.090000000000003 0.09)17% (-0.093999999999998 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.88% (0.165 0.16)47.12% (-0.17 -0.17)
Gloucester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.85% (-1.145 -1.15)41.14% (1.14 1.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.31% (-1.031 -1.03)77.68% (1.026 1.03)
Score Analysis
    Brackley Town 58.26%
    Gloucester City 18.57%
    Draw 23.16%
Brackley TownDrawGloucester City
1-0 @ 12.39% (0.32 0.32)
2-0 @ 10.98% (0.32 0.32)
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.49% (0.204 0.2)
3-1 @ 5.76% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 2.87% (0.099 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.55% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.02% (0.038 0.04)
5-1 @ 0.9% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 58.26%
1-1 @ 11% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 6.99% (0.157 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.33% (-0.148 -0.15)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 23.16%
0-1 @ 6.21% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-2 @ 4.89% (-0.183 -0.18)
0-2 @ 2.76% (-0.112 -0.11)
1-3 @ 1.45% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.28% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 18.57%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-1 Alfreton
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 3-1 Brackley Town
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 3-0 Darlington
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 2-2 Brackley Town
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-2 Telford
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 2-1 Brackley Town
Tuesday, April 4 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 4-3 Chorley
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 2-1 Gloucester City
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 1-1 Alfreton
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Telford 0-4 Gloucester City
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 1-1 Banbury
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 0-1 Gloucester City
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League North


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